Forecasting Drug Violence in Guatemala: An Application of a Probabilistic Tactical Warning Model
Social Science Seminar
Date and Time
June 7, 2012
3:30 PM - 5:00 PM
Open to the public
No RSVP required
Speakers
David Blum - Predoctoral Fellow, CISAC; Ph.D. Candidate, Department of Management Science & Engineering, Stanford University
C.J. Álvarez (commentator) - Predoctoral Fellow, CISAC
David Blum attends Stanford University, where he is a 4th year Ph.D. student in the Department of Management Science & Engineering, a U.S. Department of Defense SMART Scholar and a TA for the CISAC Honors Program. He is currently developing a probabilistic model of national security crises, with the goal of improving crisis early warning. His interests also include targeting in counter-terrorism, signatures of WMD proliferation, and models of decisions made by adversarial actors as games with incomplete information. He is a graduate intern in the Counter-Proliferation Operations-Intelligence Support program at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory.
Between 2004 and 2008 David worked at the U.S. Department of Defense as an operations research analyst. He deployed twice to Iraq, in 2007 and 2008, where, as member of Multi-National Corps Iraq, he provided direct analytic support to conventional and special operations units. He received his Master's degree from MIT in political science, concentrating in security studies, and his Bachelor's degree from Columbia University in history and physics.
Location
Reuben W. Hills Conference Room
Encina Hall
616 Serra St., 2nd floor
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305
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