Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies Center for International Security and Cooperation Stanford University


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Photo of Lawrence Wein

Lawrence M. Wein, PhD

Jeffrey S. Skoll Professor of Management Science; CISAC Affiliated Faculty Member

View Lawrence Wein's bio, list of research, recent publications and events »


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December 8th, 2010

Lawrence Wein: Surviving a nuclear attack

in the news

It's one of the most frightening possible scenarios: a 10-kiloton nuclear device detonates in Washington D.C. on a weekday morning. Thousands die instantaneously. But what should the survivors do? Encouraging survivors to take shelter in a basement would save far more lives than having them hide elsewhere or attempt to flee on foot or by car, according to Lawrence Wein, a CISAC faculty member and the Jeffrey S. Skoll professor of management science. His paper on the subject, co-written with two Stanford graduate students, recently won the 2010 Best Paper award for the journal Risk Analysis. They conclude that the "government should initiate an aggressive outreach program to educate citizens and the private sector about the importance of sheltering in place in a basement for at least 12 hours after a terrorist nuclear detonation." +PDF+
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September 20th, 2010

Study calls for sheltering-in-place in the event of nuclear attack

CISAC, FSI Stanford News

Stanford University experts, led by CISAC affiliated faculty member Lawrence Wein, have concluded that in the event of a nuclear detonation, people in large metropolitan areas are better off sheltering-in-place in basements for 12-24 hours, rather than trying to evacuate immediately, unless a lengthy warning period is provided.




May 4th, 2010

Gimme Shelter: The need for a contemporary civil defense program

Op-ed: Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists on April 28, 2010

Of the 15 terrorism and natural disaster scenarios used by DHS for planning purposes, the first is the most feared: Terrorists detonate a 10-kiloton improvised nuclear device at ground level in the National Mall in Washington at 10 a.m. on a weekday, Lawrence Wein writes in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists. Read more »



June 15th, 2009

A threat in every port

Op-ed: The New York Times on June 14, 2009

CISAC faculty member Lawrence Wein warns that "while President Obama's future vision of 'a world with no nuclear weapons' is certainly laudable, for the present America still needs to do everything it can to prevent a terrorist from detonating such a bomb on our soil." Read more »



February 11th, 2009

Stanford professors elected to NAE

in the news: Stanford Report on February 11, 2009

CISAC faculty member Lawrence Wein is one of five of Stanford's members newly elected to the National Academy of Engineering. Read more »




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News around the web

What to do in the event of nukes
"The logistical challenge of an evacuation appears to be beyond current response capabilities," study author Lawrence Wein says in a Stanford news release.
September 9, 2010 in msnbc.com (blog)

Duck and Cover Right All Along?
... Stanford professors have determined that (modern-day) "duck and cover" was right all along. In their study, co-authors Lawrence Wein, Youngsoo Choi, ...
September 9, 2010 in Stanford Review (blog)

Study says sheltering better nuclear plan
"The logistical challenge of an evacuation appears to be beyond current response capabilities," study author Lawrence M. Wein of Stanford said.
September 7, 2010 in UPI.com