CISAC Publications

Iran on the Nuclear Threshold - Feasability of Prevention and of Deterrence

Lecture Paper

Author
Scott D. Sagan - Stanford University

Published by
Herzliya Conference, February 2009

Text of the speech Sagan gave on the Iran Nuclear Crisis at the Herzilya Conference in Israel in February 2009.

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Complete (modified February 2009)
PDF: Sagan_talk_Herzelia_Conference...pdf (88.2KB)

Publications of interest

Nuclear Deterrence in a Regional Context
Dean Wilkening, Kenneth Watman
RAND (1995)
Dangerous Dealings: North Korea's Nuclear Capabilities and the Threat of Export to Iran
Siegfried S. Hecker, William Liou
Arms Control Today vol. 37, 2 (2007)
Nuclear Attribution as Deterrence
Michael Miller
Nonproliferation Review vol. 14, 1 (2007)
Next Steps in the Creation of an Accidental Nuclear War Prevention Center
John W. Lewis, Coit D. Blacker
Center for International Security and Arms Control (1983)

Nuclear Deterrence in the 21st Century: the Role of Science and Technology
Joseph Martz
Common Knowledge and Nuclear Deterrence: U.S.-Soviet and Sino-Soviet Relations in the 1950s
David Holloway
Risk Analysis of Nuclear Deterrence
Martin Hellman
Nuclear Weapons in Developing Countries: Is Iran next?
Jalil Roshandel